Probabilistic macroseismic hazard assessment for Nicaragua (preliminary results)     

Sergio Espinosa 《Natural Hazards》1996,13(2):179-202

A probabilistic macroseismic hazard assessment has been done for Nicaragua. For this, the most complete catalogue for Central America, compiled by NORSAR in Norway has been used. In this catalogue, empirical intensity attenuation relations were found. Using these empirical relations, magnitudes were changed to epicentral intensities expected in sites where no intensities had been reported. The calculated intensities from a polygon surrounding Nicaragua were used to assess the macroseismic hazard in the region. For the whole polygon, the cumulative intensity frequency was calculated resulting in a b-value of 0.60 for an intensity interval of V–IX. The time completeness was also studied indicating that, for strong events causing higher intensities (I ₀ VII), the catalogue is complete for events that have been recorded since 1840. The whole polygon was cut into independent seismotectonic regions where the statistical procedure (intensity frequency and time completeness) was done.  相似文献   

Trace elements in the shallow ground water of The Netherlands. A geochemical and statistical interpretation of the national monitoring network data     

Giuseppe Frapporti  Simon P. Vriend  Pauline F. M. Van Gaans 《Aquatic Geochemistry》1996,2(1):51-80

Concentration levels of the trace elements Al, As, B, Ba, Be, Cd, Co, Cr, Cu, Li, Mo, Ni, Pb, Sr, V, Y, and Zn in the shallow Dutch ground water were studied. Data were extracted from the data base of the Dutch National Ground Water Quality Monitoring Network, a network set up to monitor the diffuse contamination. The network contains over 350 sites at a low density of about 1 per 100 km². The sites are sampled once a year at two depths (approx. 10 and 25 m below surface). A two-step multivariate statistical approach was used, in which the major element chemistry was used to define water types. Within each water type, trace element behavior could be coupled to distinct geochemical processes: dilution, acidification and weathering, carbonate dissolution, oxidation/reduction, and ion exchange. In recently infiltrated acid rain water in low buffering capacity sands, the anthropogenic influence indirectly caused mobilization of Al (median 430 g/l), Cd (0.6 g/l), Co (14 g/l), Cu (2.7 g/l), Ni (16 g/l), Y (11 g/l), and Zn (50 mg/l). In carbonate bearing sediments the acidification is neutralized, and the mentioned trace elements remain immobile. Arsenic and Cr have higher concentrations levels in ground waters with a slightly reducing character and are possibly governed by the dissolution of iron-manganese hydroxides. Boron, Li, and Sr have high concentrations (respectively 875, 80, 2700 g/l) in the water type related to a seawater source. Strontium is related to carbonate dissolution in all other water types (medians ranging from 100 to 1000 g/l). Barium shows a complex behaviour. It is concluded that the high Al, Cd, Co, Cr, Ni, and Zn concentrations are anthropogenically induced. High Ba and Cr concentrations are inferred to be due to natural processes.  相似文献   

Environmental magnetism: an introduction   总被引：31，自引：0，他引：31  

Dekkers  M.J. 《Geologie en Mijnbouw》1997,76(1-2):163-182

In environmental magnetism, the properties of magnetic minerals are used as proxy parameters for many purposes. Examples are paleoclimate analysis, paleoceanographic studies, provenance studies of sediments, studies of anthropogenically-induced pollution, and archeological investigations. Mineral-magnetic techniques are sensitive, require little sample preparation, are rapid, often grain-size indicative, and usually non-destructive. These techniques involve bulk properties which makes them complementary to geochemical micro-analytical techniques. Measurements include the field- and temperature-dependence of various types of induced and remanent magnetizations. Mineral-magnetic methods are continuously being improved. The underlying causal relations between observed mineral-magnetic properties and the processes that led to those properties, are becoming increasingly better understood, and the extended use of such properties as proxy parameters for many processes is foreseen. The following environmental magnetic applications are reviewed: the analysis of paleoclimatic variations in loess and other sediment types, the untangling of sedimentary features in piston cores, and the interpretation of the anthropogenic impact on the environment, in archeological studies and in studies of present-day pollution. The pathway between the provenance area and depositional site is shown to have a crucial impact on the magnetic properties.  相似文献   

Temperature and precipitation changes in Extensive Hexi Region,China, 1960–2011     

Wei Liu  ZongXing Li  Meng Zhu  XiaoYan Guo  LiJuan Chen 《寒旱区科学》2016,8(3):212-226

Global climate change has been evident in many places worldwide. This study provides a better understanding of the variability and changes in frequency, intensity, and duration of temperature, precipitation, and climate extremes in the Extensive Hexi Region, based on meteorological data from 26 stations. The analysis of average, maximum, and minimum temperatures revealed that statistically significant warming occurred from 1960 to 2011. All temperature extremes displayed trends consistent with warming, with the exception of coldest-night temperature(TNn) and coldest-day temperature(TXn), which were particularly evident in high-altitude areas and at night. Amount of precipitation and number of rainy days slowly increased with no significant regional trends, mainly occurring in the Qilian Mountains and Hexi Corridor. The significance of changes in precipitation extremes during 1960–2011 was high, but the regional trends of maximum 5-day precipitation(RX5day), the average precipitation on wet days(SDII), and consecutive wet days(CWD) were not significant. The variations in the studied parameters indicate an increase in both the extremity and strength of precipitation events, particularly in higher-altitude regions. Furthermore, the contribution from very wet precipitation(R95) and extremely wet precipitation(R99) to total precipitation also increased between 1960 and 2011. The assessment of these changes in temperature and precipitation may help in developing better management practices for water resources. Future studies in the region should focus on the impact of these changes on runoffs and glaciers.  相似文献   

济南地区岩溶地下水污染程度评价   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

薄克庭  蔡有兄 《山东国土资源》2016,32(3)

岩溶水环境背景值(污染起始值)是确定岩溶水污染程度的主要参数。通过2013年济南地区岩溶地下水水质资料与济南地区岩溶水环境地质背景值对比分析及综合评价,反映了济南地区岩溶地下水水质污染变化情况。该文地下水污染综合评价是根据以往不同年份的水质资料进行对比评价的,评价结果存在一定的局限性和不全面性,但基本能够反映济南地区岩溶地下水污染程度的总体情况。  相似文献   

Historical variations in the stable isotope composition of mercury in a sediment core from a riverine lake: Effects of dams,pulp and paper mill wastes,and mercury from a chlor-alkali plant     

《Applied Geochemistry》2016

The Wabigoon River (Ontario, Canada) was affected by dams starting in 1898 and was polluted with pulp and paper mill wastes starting in 1913 and mercury from a chlor-alkali plant from 1962 to 1975. A dated sediment core from a riverine lake was analysed to investigate resultant changes in the biogeochemistry of mercury as revealed by variations in mercury isotope ratios and sediment chemistry. A total mercury maximum formed by the mercury pollution coincided with minimums in the δ-values of the ¹⁹⁸Hg/²⁰²Hg, ¹⁹⁹Hg/²⁰²Hg, ²⁰⁰Hg/²⁰²Hg, and ²⁰¹Hg/²⁰²Hg ratios, and the δ-values decreased in the order δ²⁰¹Hg > δ²⁰⁰Hg > δ¹⁹⁹Hg > δ¹⁹⁸Hg. Thus, mass-dependent fractionation caused depletion in lighter isotopes, implying evaporation of Hg(0) and pollution of the atmosphere as well as the river-lake system. Concurrently, mass-independent fractionation caused ¹⁹⁹Hg enrichment, possibly reflecting an independently documented upsurge in methylmercury production, and ²⁰¹Hg depletion, suggesting removal of methylmercury with anomalously high ²⁰¹Hg/¹⁹⁹Hg ratios by aquatic organisms and accumulation of ²⁰¹Hg-depleted inorganic Hg(II) in sediments. The δ²⁰¹Hg/δ¹⁹⁹Hg ratio rose abruptly when mercury pollution began, reflecting the resultant increase in methylmercury production, and remained high but gradually declined as the pollution abated, paralleling trends shown by methylmercury in aquatic organisms. The δ²⁰¹Hg/δ¹⁹⁹Hg ratio of pre-1962 background mercury increased ca. 1898 and ca. 1913–1929, suggesting accelerated methylmercury production due to stimulation of microbial activities by the damming of the river and the input of pulp and paper mill wastes, respectively. Other variations were linked to economic and technological factors that affected pulp and paper manufacture.  相似文献   

台州低空逆温层特征分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

黄景  徐伟萍  金小城 《气象与环境科学》2016,39(2):113-118

利用浙江省洪家气象站L波段雷达逐日探空资料,统计分析了2007—2011年台州接地逆温和悬浮逆温的出现频率、逆温厚度、逆温强度特征,以及与风向风速的关系。结果表明:台州四季均存在低空逆温层,低空逆温出现频率年变化趋势呈单谷型特征,冬春季节逆温出现频率较高。秋冬季节低空逆温厚度增大,春季厚度变薄,夏季最薄;各时次的悬浮逆温厚度大于接地逆温厚度。07:00接地逆温月变化和季节变化强度都弱于19:00接地逆温的;07:00接地逆温,冬季强度最大(1.4℃/100m);19:00接地逆温在秋冬季节强度(2.2和2.0℃/100m)显著大于春夏季节强度(1.3和1.5℃/100m)。两个时次悬浮逆温强度月变化(0.8~1.2℃/100m)和季节变化(0.9~1.1℃/100m)较小,平均底高和顶高的最低值都在7月份,19:00悬浮逆温平均底高、平均顶高普遍大于07:00悬浮逆温观测值。出现接地逆温层时,低空风速一般≤2 m/s,层底风向集中在W到NW之间和静风,天空多为无云或少云;出现悬浮逆温层时,风速小于6 m/s的比例超过50%,层底风向集中在NW到ENE之间和SSW到SW之间,总云量不小于6的比例达70%以上。四季均有霾出现,霾日出现频率年变化趋势与逆温出现频率都是呈单谷型特征。霾污染权重系数季节变化与两个时次的逆温厚度和07:00逆温强度的变化趋势基本一致:冬春季节的大于夏秋季节的;冬春季节霾的污染程度较为严重,污染权重系数分别为49.0和38.1。  相似文献   

Assessing environmental justice through potential exposure to air pollution: A socio-spatial analysis in Madrid and Barcelona,Spain     

《Geoforum》2016

The concept of environmental justice (EJ) has recently gained currency, both as a factor for and a goal of sustainable development. Its implementation in practice implies establishing current environmental injustice patterns and analysing planning policies, with the aim to reduce socio-demographic inequalities in the negative environmental impact borne by different population groups. This paper proposes a method to assess differential exposure to excessive pollution levels by socio-demographic groups in intra-urban spaces.The approach developed in this paper is based upon GIS and quantitative spatial analysis techniques. It incorporates the idea of an ‘environmental justice weighting scale’ for policy-making, using normative pollution thresholds to measure inequalities more objectively and consistently. Spain’s two largest cities, Madrid and Barcelona, have been chosen as case-studies, taking nitrogen dioxide as the pollutant, and the geographic distribution of six vulnerable population groups (children, elderly people and international immigrants) in the year 2010. The results reveal that a large part of these groups suffer exposure to air pollution exceeding the maximum permitted levels disproportionately, which would imply a case of environmental injustice.  相似文献   

基于模糊综合评判的海洋溢油污染评估模型研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张倩  柳林  潘宝玉  董水峰  董景利  范存国 《海洋科学》2016,40(5):97-102

在分析总结相关研究成果的基础上,利用模糊综合评估方法,对溢油污染程度相关影响因素进行深入分析研究,对溢油污染程度评估指标体系进行改进和完善,提出溢油量和离岸距离两个影响因子新的隶属度函数,构建新的海域敏感区隶属度子集表并计算各指标的权重。最后,应用此模型对2002年渤海绥中36-1油田中心平台溢油事故进行评估,结果显示污染程度评估等级有明显提高,以期为海洋溢油污染评估提供科学依据,并通过提高污染评估等级引起人们对海洋环境的重视。  相似文献   

变化环境下东江流域水文干旱特征及缺水响应   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

涂新军  陈晓宏  赵勇  杜奕良  马明卫  黎坤 《水科学进展》2016,27(6):810-821

在干旱事件不确定性和枯期径流变异性的双重影响下,水文干旱特征时序非一致性问题为其联合分布模拟带来困难。基于东江干流测站日径流过程数据,采用游程理论提取水文干旱事件,并结合干旱特征均值变化、时序一致性分析及边缘分布模拟,以确定干旱事件融合及剔除评判标准的合理取值。基于Rosenblatt变换Cramer-von Mises检验统计量拟合方法,构建水文干旱特征两变量联合分布Copula模型,并根据同频法设计两变量组合值。通过对比枯期径流变点分隔子序列干旱特征,分析变化环境下东江流域水文干旱特征及缺水响应。结果表明:水文干旱事件融合和剔除的评判标准值分别取0.1和0.3比较合理。干旱特征两变量之间具有较高的正相关性,但不同时间系列不同变量之间的联合分布及边缘分布最优模型并不一致。流域水库尤其是新丰江水库的径流调节作用,对于缓解东江中下游水文干旱效果明显,超阈联合重现期为2年的设计干旱持续时间、总缺水量和最大日缺水量分别减少了63%~71%、71%~84%和30%~47%,但如果要满足东江河道内最小管理流量目标,其依然分别达到了12~18 d、6 114万~9 030万m3和715.0万~929.0万m3。  相似文献